HRW Wheat (KW)

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U.S. Supply & Disappearance

Sources: USDA (ERS WASDE) *Latest market year projected, current market year estimated.
Planted & Harvested (million acres), Yield (bushels / acre), Supply & Disappearance (million bushels)
Market YearPlantedHarvestedYieldBeginning StocksProductionImportsTotal SupplyFood UseSeed UseFeed & Res. UseExportsTotal UseEnding Stocks
2000/0162.553.142.0949.72,228.289.83,267.7949.679.5300.41,062.02,391.6876.2
2001/0259.448.540.2876.21,947.5107.62,931.2926.483.4182.0962.32,154.1777.1
2002/0360.345.835.0777.11,605.977.42,460.4918.684.4115.7850.21,968.9491.4
2003/0462.153.144.2491.42,344.463.02,898.9911.979.7202.51,158.32,352.4546.4
2004/0559.650.043.2546.42,156.870.62,773.8909.677.6180.61,065.92,233.7540.1
2005/0657.250.142.0540.12,103.381.42,724.8917.177.1156.61,002.82,153.6571.2
2006/0757.346.838.6571.21,808.4121.92,501.5937.981.9117.1908.52,045.3456.2
2007/0860.551.040.2456.22,051.1112.62,619.9947.987.616.01,262.62,314.1305.8
2008/0963.656.044.8305.82,499.2127.02,932.0926.878.0255.21,015.42,275.4656.5
2009/1059.049.844.3656.52,218.1118.62,993.2918.969.5149.9879.32,017.5975.6
2010/1152.646.946.1975.62,206.996.93,279.5925.670.9131.91,288.82,417.2862.2
2011/1254.345.743.6862.21,999.3112.12,973.7941.476.3163.91,049.52,231.0742.6
2012/1355.348.846.2742.62,252.3124.33,119.2950.873.1365.31,012.12,401.4717.9
2013/1456.245.347.1717.92,135.0172.53,025.3955.175.6228.21,176.22,435.1590.3
2014/1556.846.443.7590.32,026.3151.22,767.8958.379.4113.4864.32,015.4752.4
2015/1655.047.343.6752.42,061.9112.82,927.1957.167.2149.5777.81,951.5975.6
2016/1750.143.952.7975.62,308.7118.03,402.4949.061.3160.61,050.92,221.81,180.6
*2017/1846.037.546.31,180.61,739.6157.43,077.7964.463.450.0901.11,978.81,098.9
*2018/1947.839.647.61,098.91,884.5140.03,123.3970.063.080.01,000.02,113.01,010.3

Annual Planted & Harvested:


Annual Supply:





Annual Disappearance:








Quarterly Stocks by Position:










USDA FAS Export Sales Data:

All Data For The current Marketing Year




 
20yrsSpot PriceWgt Fut PriceBasisVolatility (ANN)Forward Curve
Maximum1196.251228.2345.0045.00%31.31%
Top 1/4tile596.50652.53-1.0028.99%11.83%
Median442.88495.47-20.8123.62%6.26%
Bot 1/4tile343.59351.58-40.8120.05%1.76%
Minimum232.63271.05-128.6313.17%-12.71%
10yrsSpot PriceWgt Fut PriceBasisVolatility (ANN)Forward Curve
Maximum900.88986.8045.0040.13%31.31%
Top 1/4tile658.00725.58-10.0030.45%14.80%
Median528.50575.62-34.6326.51%7.76%
Bot 1/4tile438.56498.58-58.0920.98%4.43%
Minimum323.00416.95-128.6316.28%-6.15%
5yrsSpot PriceWgt Fut PriceBasisVolatility (ANN)Forward Curve
Maximum744.00836.2545.0029.57%31.31%
Top 1/4tile535.75564.825.0026.04%14.11%
Median456.50507.82-17.0022.34%6.78%
Bot 1/4tile401.75464.48-45.0019.66%0.49%
Minimum323.00416.95-128.6316.28%-6.15%
Source: ABSR Research, LLC, Commodity Systems Inc.

Source: ABSR Research, LLC, Commodity Systems Inc.

Source: ABSR Research, LLC, Commodity Systems Inc.

Source: ABSR Research, LLC, Commodity Systems Inc., USDA: NASS

Source: ABSR Research, LLC, Commodity Systems Inc.

Source: ABSR Research, LLC, Commodity Systems Inc.

HRW Wheat Specifications:
20yrsWgt Fut PriceVolatility (ANN)Forward Curve
Maximum1228.2344.91%11.06%
Top 1/4tile652.5329.21%5.83%
Median477.7323.36%3.76%
Bot 1/4tile338.6619.94%1.57%
Minimum271.0513.17%-11.71%
10yrsWgt Fut PriceVolatility (ANN)Forward Curve
Maximum1041.2344.91%11.06%
Top 1/4tile754.5032.82%5.54%
Median623.5228.65%3.88%
Bot 1/4tile500.1821.88%2.32%
Minimum410.5816.38%-2.72%
5yrsWgt Fut PriceVolatility (ANN)Forward Curve
Maximum829.7529.44%11.06%
Top 1/4tile647.0224.46%7.15%
Median514.9521.88%4.91%
Bot 1/4tile463.0719.56%1.76%
Minimum410.5816.38%-2.72%
Source: CME Group
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